Precious Metals Industry Playbook

Part of the Metals & Mining sector This playbook covers the Precious Metals subindustry within the Metals & Mining sector. It provides a focused framework fo...

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Part of the Metals & Mining sector

Industry Overview

This playbook covers the Precious Metals sub-industry within the Metals & Mining sector. It provides a focused framework for analysing and valuing companies in this specific segment of the Indian market.

What you will learn

  • Industry Overview: How Precious Metals companies operate — business models, revenue drivers, and key players in India
  • Key Metrics: The 4-5 financial metrics that matter most for evaluating Precious Metals companies
  • Competitive Landscape: Market structure, entry barriers, pricing power, and moat analysis for Precious Metals
  • Risks & Red Flags: What can go wrong — regulatory, cyclical, and company-specific risks in Precious Metals
  • Valuation Framework: How to value Precious Metals companies — appropriate multiples, benchmarks, and peer comparison

Quick navigation

Lesson Focus
Industry Overview How Precious Metals companies operate — business models, rev...
Key Metrics The 4-5 financial metrics that matter most for evaluating Pr...
Competitive Landscape Market structure, entry barriers, pricing power, and moat an...
Risks & Red Flags What can go wrong — regulatory, cyclical, and company-specif...
Valuation Framework How to value Precious Metals companies — appropriate multipl...

Start here

Begin with the Industry Overview to understand the basic business model, then use Key Metrics to build your screening criteria.


1. Precious Metals — Industry Overview

Precious Metals — gold, silver, and platinum group metals where India is the world's largest consumer but barely mines its own.

What you will learn

How precious metals companies operate in India — from mining and refining to jewellery manufacturing, why India imports 95%+ of its gold, and which listed players capture value in this chain.


Core framework

India's precious metals paradox

India consumes ~800–900 tonnes of gold annually (25% of global demand) but produces only ~1.5 tonnes domestically. The listed opportunity is mostly in refining, jewellery retail, and silver by-product from base metal miners.

Precious Metals Value Chain
Mining
Gold — Hutti Mines HGML
Silver — By-product of Zinc Mining
Refining
MMTC-PAMP Refinery
Kundan / other refineries
Trading / Bullion
MCX Trading
Banks / Nominated Agencies
Jewellery Manufacturing
Titan / Tanishq
Kalyan / Malabar

Revenue models in India

Business type Revenue model Key players Margin profile
Gold mining Ore extraction → refining → bullion sale HGML (unlisted), Deccan Gold High margin but tiny scale
Silver (by-product) Zinc mining → silver recovery Hindustan Zinc Silver is 15–20% of EBITDA
Gold refining Import doré → refine → sell 999 bars MMTC-PAMP (JV) Thin refining margin (0.2–0.5%)
Jewellery retail Gold purchase → making → retail sale Titan, Kalyan, Malabar 8–12% EBITDA margin
Gold recycling Old jewellery → melt → resell Unorganised (85%) Growing organised opportunity

Cost & pricing dynamics

Gold price = exogenous

No Indian company can influence gold/silver prices — they are set globally (LBMA/COMEX). Indian landed cost = international price + 15% import duty + 3% GST. Companies make money on making charges, volume throughput, or mining cost advantage.

Cost factor Impact Who bears it
Import duty (15%) Raises consumer cost; creates smuggling arbitrage End consumer
Making charges (8–25%) Jeweller's actual margin Jewellery retailers
Mining cost (for producers) $800–1,200/oz for global miners Mining companies
Hedging cost Protects margin but caps upside Refiners, large jewellers

Key players

Company Business Revenue (FY24) Precious metal exposure
Titan Company Jewellery (Tanishq) ~₹51,000 Cr Gold/diamond as raw material
Hindustan Zinc Zinc + Silver ~₹30,000 Cr India's #1 silver producer
Kalyan Jewellers Jewellery retail ~₹18,000 Cr Pure gold/diamond play
Senco Gold Regional jewellery ~₹5,500 Cr Eastern India focus
Deccan Gold Mines Gold exploration Pre-revenue Only listed gold explorer

Indian context

🗣️

"Gold India mein investment bhi hai, emotion bhi hai — Diwali-shaadi mein demand guaranteed hai. Company dhundho jo is demand pe margin kamaye."

  • India imports 700–800 tonnes of gold annually; 2nd largest importer after China
  • Hallmarking (BIS) made mandatory in 2022 — benefits organised players
  • Silver demand surging due to solar panel manufacturing (India's PLI scheme)
  • Gold recycling is ~30% of supply but 85% unorganised — formalisation opportunity

What to check next


2. Precious Metals — Key Metrics

The numbers that matter — from AllIn Sustaining Cost (AISC) for miners to samestore growth for jewellers. 5–6 metrics across mining, refining, and jewellery...

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3. Precious Metals — Competitive Landscape

India's precious metals market — where jewellery retail is the real listed opportunity. Market structure across mining, refining, and jewellery retail. Who h...

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4. Precious Metals — Risks & Red Flags

What threatens precious metals investments — from import duty shocks to gold price corrections. Price, regulatory, operational, and governance risks specific...

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5. Precious Metals — Valuation Framework

How to value goldlinked businesses — jewellery retailers on P/E, miners on NAV, and the gold price overlay. Appropriate valuation approaches for different ty...

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