Lesson 03 — Monitoring and Tracking

Week 11 · Lesson 3 of 3 · Week 11 — Building a Watchlist

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A watchlist is useless if you don't track it. Here's what to monitor: Every quarter, when results are announced: 1. Revenue growth — still on track? (compare...

Once you have a watchlist — then what?

A watchlist is useless if you don't track it. Here's what to monitor:

Quarterly monitoring checklist

Every quarter, when results are announced:

  1. Revenue growth — still on track? (compare YoY)
  2. Margin trend — expanding or contracting?
  3. Profit growth — in line with revenue growth?
  4. CFO — still converting profits to cash?
  5. Any exceptional items? — strip them out for real performance
  6. Promoter holding changes — any buying or selling?
  7. Management commentary — any change in outlook?

Annual deep-dive checklist

Once a year when the annual report comes out:

  1. ROE and ROCE — still above your thresholds?
  2. Debt levels — increasing or decreasing?
  3. FCF trend — still positive?
  4. Annual report notes — any new risks?
  5. Auditor report — clean?
  6. Red flag check — run the Week 09 checklist

When to remove from your watchlist

  • 2+ red flags appear
  • Fundamental deterioration: margins falling, ROE declining for 3+ years
  • Management credibility loss (broken promises, fraud)
  • You find a better company in the same sector

Key takeaway

Building a watchlist is step 1. Maintaining it with quarterly discipline is what makes you a real analyst.